Weathering the Storm:
 

Why the public sector is key to Ontario’s economic recovery
 

The current recession did not start in Ontario, but it is hitting us hard.

Job losses in manufacturing, mining, forestry, transportation, and construction have slashed incomes. Families are hurting. Demand for goods and services is down; so are tax revenues. This is putting pressure on government budgets, public services, and the people – all Ontarians – who depend on them.

Some pundits say that now is no time for public spending. With tax revenues falling, they say government should cut spending, cut wages, and cut public services.

This approach would be counterproductive in the extreme. The public sector is vital to our well-being. It provides public services we need, and public sector jobs mean economic stability for families and communities.

OPSEU believes the public sector is key to Ontario’s economic recovery. The points on the following pages should be foundation stones of government strategy in the 2009-10 budget and beyond.

1.     As demand for private goods and services slumps, demand for public services spikes.

Private sector job losses are caused by falling demand for private sector goods and services. In a recession, demand for public services does not fall – it increases dramatically.

As job losses mount, many Ontario-funded employment services have seen demand for their services rise by more than 100 per cent. Meanwhile, the number of people on social assistance is rising. Some municipalities are already reporting double-digit increases. This requires more money for social assistance payments – which cities do not have – but also more staff to handle applications and help recipients. Ontario Works should not be funded by the property tax base. It should be fully funded and delivered by the province.

Women’s shelters, Children’s Aid Societies, and children’s mental health programs are just three of the many social services that see increased demand as families struggle with economic stress. Yet workers in these areas fear layoffs, not more resources, in the months ahead.

In health care, no one is willing to delay needed diagnoses, surgeries, or treatments simply because they got sick at the wrong time. Nor should they be. Recession or not, an aging population needs more health care. Unfortunately, Ontario hospitals expect to lay off some 5,000 workers this year – from nurses to respiratory therapists to cleaners. In long-term care, Ontario has the lowest staffing levels of any province. Home care is still provided by the lowest bidder, with predictable impacts on quality of care. Both sectors are in desperate need of rebuilding.

During any recession, many workers head back to school for retraining. January 2009 saw a 10 per cent jump in applications to Ontario community colleges compared to a year earlier; that trend will only increase this year and into 2010. Colleges are already turning away qualified applicants (Algonquin College in Ottawa turned away 6,000 last year). The college system needs more faculty and staff. Despite the government’s Reaching Higher program, Ontario remains 10th out of 10 provinces in per-student funding of community colleges.

OPSEU membership in the Ontario Public Service is currently at 41,000 workers, down from 60,000 just after the 1995 provincial election – a drop of more than 30 per cent. Yet the OPS is tasked with more work than ever before. The Environmental Commissioner of Ontario stated flatly in 2007 that “The ministries of Environment and Natural Resources are faltering in a number of core functions such as inspection, enforcement and monitoring.” Not much has changed since then. Most ministries have worked in a climate of restraint since the early 1990s.

The McGuinty government has recognized that enforcement of the improved Employment Standards Act is inadequate. Just 20 Employment Standards Officers (ESOs) are responsible for enforcing the law in 350,000 Ontario workplaces. A government promise to hire up to 100 new ESOs must be kept. If it is, it will actively help the government’s anti-poverty strategy by recovering unpaid wages for low-wage workers.

Ontario’s total provincial spending is by no means high. Ontario government spending as a proportion of Gross Domestic Product ranks seventh among the 10 provinces.

2.     The more we support local demand for goods and services, the faster the recovery will be.

Ontario relies heavily on exports, but we can only do a little to stimulate demand for our goods and services beyond our borders. Economic stimulus here at home has a big role to play in the upcoming budget.

Clearly, the government must borrow money to match funds available from the federal government for transit and other projects.

Overall, special care must be given to make sure that funds disbursed by government are spent, and spent locally. The surest way to do this is to direct funding into programs targeted at low-income Ontarians and into much-needed public services and public service jobs.

3.     Public sector spending supports the economic well-being of Ontario families and communities.

Nearly one in five Ontarians has a public sector job at the federal, provincial, or municipal level. These jobs provide services Ontarians expect and demand – not just health and education, but consumer protection, highway safety, the courts, meat inspection, developmental services, and so on. Just as importantly, public sector jobs are a source of spending power in households and communities.

The number of public sector jobs in Ontario is low relative to other provinces. Ontario ranks eighth in public sector jobs as a proportion of overall employment.

4.     The public sector must take the lead in planning for economic success.

From the 1960s until 1995, Ontario had an industrial strategy. Five premiers, from Robarts to Rae, saw an active role for government in planning, guiding, and supporting the economy. Under various names, the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade helped save and create jobs, improve trade, and enhance wealth creation. It encouraged the growth of high-wage, high-skill jobs. From 1995 to 2003, the Harris-Eves government took a laissez-faire approach to economic strategy. The Conservatives left economic planning to business. In the process they created an Ontario with more millionaires – and more homelessness. The current recession, caused as it is by a combination of unparalleled greed, deregulation, and income disparity, should signal the end of right-wing prescriptions for the economy. As we face key policy challenges like eliminating child poverty (as in the Premier’s 25-in-5 strategy) and designing a green economy (envisioned in the Green Energy Act), economic planning must be front and centre once again.

The Ministry of Economic Development and Trade (currently four sub-ministries) must be revitalized. The government should reinstate the Development Corporations of Ontario and the Manufacturing Recovery Program and consolidate all economic development programs in one in-house, one-stop shop. In the past, this vital and successful work was done by OPSEU members from the banking, finance, engineering, and accounting professions. It should be again.

5.     Ontario needs a deficit recovery plan that distributes the cost of the recovery fairly.

With an expected budget deficit of $18 billion over the next two years, the province needs a plan to pay off that debt over the long term. In the past, public debts have typically been erased by increased revenues from economic growth and/or cuts to public services.

Public services have still not recovered from the previous government’s attacks. Funding for many key programs remains the worst in Canada. Public service cuts and layoffs are ideas from yesterday that will not work today – or tomorrow 

Public sector employees are willing to pay their share of the cost of the recovery. But it makes no sense for a lab technologist to lose her job while the successful realtor across the street makes no additional contribution.

The right way to ensure that the costs of recovery are borne fairly is through the tax system. This approach worked when Roy Romanow rebuilt Saskatchewan in the 1990s. It will work for Barack Obama as he rebuilds the United States. And it will work for Ontario.

The notion that modest tax increases reduce demand for goods and services and slow economic growth is incorrect. The lab technologist spends her money just as the realtor does. By flowing money through the public sector, we can afford the services we need and rebuild local economies at the same time.

Ontario Public Service Employees Union, 100 Lesmill Road, Toronto, Ontario M3B 3P8 www.opseu.org • Spring 2009

Authorized for distribution by Warren (Smokey) Thomas, president.

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